You currently can find this bet for -165 odds on BetMGM. We like it to -190.
Tanner Houck is going up against the Detroit Tigers. The Tigers rank 7th in the majors in K rate against RHP this year which is a red flag to begin with. He is projected to see five righties tonight and that is excellent for him given his 30.9% K rate against them compared to 19.5% against lefties. His X stats to both sides of the plate have been superb this season with lefties sitting at .093/.289 and righties at .141/.285. It is clear that he holds a superb blend of strikeout upside combined with the ability to hold their offense in check.
On the other side, the Red Sox are battling with Kenta Maeda, who has been an off-and-on gas can for years. He has been absolutely tattooed by everybody he has seen this season. Lefties have a .194/.388 line off his heater while righties have a .470/.525 line. Pretty much anybody who can hit a fastball is in play here, especially the righties. For that reason, Duran (.314/.400), Abreu (.206 xISO), Devers (.239/.380), Refsnyder (.437 xwOBA), Hamilton (.187/.352), and Rafaela (.328/.356) are poised to capitalize in this spot. Lock in the Red Sox!