This can be found at Bet MGM at -120 odds and we’d play it to -4. First off, Duke hasn’t beaten a higher seed in the tournament since 1994. You could look at this as Duke is always a high seed, but what it shows is they have trouble when they meet a similar talent level. We saw a resilient Houston team against A&M that essentially won in overtime with four starters fouling out. This is one of the most physical teams in the country which is the opposite of how Duke wants to play. Think of the Duke/Tennessee matchup from last season in which Tennessee’s physicality was far too much for Duke. We see Houston suffocating what Duke wants to do in this game and ultimately coming away with a comfortable win.
