You currently can find this bet for -145 odds on DraftKings. We like it to -165.
Candidly, this line makes no real sense to us. Aaron Nola is far from a scrub and the Guardians are not the greatest matchup from a K perspective. But Nola has covered this total in nine of his last ten starts and the one he did not came in a matchup with the Cubs when he got smashed for four runs on seven hits in five innings. That most likely will not happen today. Nola has a strong 30% K rate against lefties over the last thirty days and he is slated to see six of them in this spot. His primary K pitch against them is his knuckle curve which has a 21% whiff rate over the last month – and every Guardians lefty that has faced the pitch has over a 20% K rate against it other than Kwan. Lock this in before the line jumps!