The Detroit Tigers match up against Hunter Brown and the Houston Astros tonight, and Brown has struggled over the past 30 days. Brown has given up a .324 xISO to lefties, and .212 mark to righties over the past month. He also relies on his fastball nearly 40% of the time to lefties and 50% to righties, and Baddoo (.244 xISO), Greene (.196 xISO, .390 xwOBA), Torkelson (.274 xISO, .408xwOBA), Carpenter (.187xISO, .341xwOBA), Cabrera (.253xISO, .384xwOBA), and Rogers (.344xISO, .385xwOBA) all murder fastballs. Eduardo Rodriguez is on the mound for Detroit, and he’s been stellar over the past 30 days. He’s allowed a .053 xISO to lefties and .127 mark to righties. Houston has a solid lineup, but their most dangerous pieces in Tucker and Alvarez are lefties, who Rodriguez owns. We think the Detroit bats are going to get after Brown today, and Rodriguez shouldn’t have much trouble on the mound. We think Detroit should be favored here and would take their ML to -110.
