You currently can find this bet for -125 odds on BetMGM. We like it to -150.
The K rates for Hayden have been exceptional. Lefties have a 28.4% K rate against him and righties have a 26.6% mark. Over the last 30 days, those have become even better at staggering rates of 31.8% and 38.7% respectively. The issue for Hayden is that he has married those K rates with seeing his fastball get absolutely detonated. Lefties have a .369/.412 line against it over the last 30 days and righties have a .546/.542 line themselves. That brings options like Butler (.264/.395), Rooker (.287/.428), Bleday (.203/.390), Langeliers (.224/.342), Brown (.257/.345), and Gelof (.341/.389) into play to damage him. Because of that, we like targeting his K line here as he should be able to rack up the Ks even if he is getting hit around. Lock in the over for Birdsong!