You currently can find this bet for -104 on FanDuel. We like it to -135.
With Joel Embiid out the last 2 games, Melton has seen a lot more of the floor at 37 minutes each game. We can expect the ball to be in Melton’s hands a lot of the time tonight, just as it was in these 2 games. In his last game, Melton had 7 potential assists, and ended up with only 1 actual assist, which is a very low conversion rate. We like some regression to the mean tonight against a Houston team who’s much closer to league average in defensive rating over theri last 8 games at 116.5, a significant drop off from their 110.6 number for the season.
