This might seem like a fish bet because it’s the #1 overall pick with more hype than anyone since LeBron, but we really don’t think this prop line is high enough. He was hitting this line pretty easily in the preseason and he was only playing 3 quarters. We think he’ll be eager to show out in front of the home crowd for his debut and he won’t be shy about taking plenty of shots. We think the correct line for this prop is closer to 27.5 and therefore there’s a lot of value here. It’s -110 on DraftKings which is our preference. You can also take over 20.5 on Caesars at -170, but we’d rather get the better odds and trust him to get to 25+.
