You can find this at +4 on DraftKings, and we’d take it to +3.5 and -120. We talked about how profitable it is to bet against teams in must-win situations (although it didn’t work last night). When teams with nothing to play for play teams in a must-win situation to make the playoffs in Week 17/18, the team with nothing to play for has covered 61% of the time, and that number climbs to 69% when the spread is over a field goal. When these teams played a few weeks ago in Tampa Bay, the line was 3.5 in favor of Tampa Bay, and they won by 3. Carolina has covered three straight games at home, and Todd Bowles and Baker Mayfield are both under 31% ATS as a favorite of over a field goal.
