You can currently find this bet for +122 on Tailgate. We like it to -115.
We’ve seen this specific story from before from Spain: Be the clearly better team in the knockout rounds, take 65-70% of the ball, and win with a shutout without running up their goal total. They are not just a great possession team, but haven’t been getting a lot of credit for just how stout they’ve been defensively this tournament, not only because of their possession game, but they’ve been very solid along the back four. The Belgian team has been better and found something since they swapped up their lineup at the end of the Senegal game, but this is a big step in quality of opponent, and we think they’ll be just fine with that team letting Spain have the ball, and trying to find an opportunity to get it to extra time with a very low scoring 0-0 or 1-1 game. Lock in on the under!