You currently can find this bet for -110 odds on Caesars. We like it to -135.
This bet has everything to do with how bad Wichita State’s offense is. Memphis has a top 35 defense in the country according to KenPom. They are facing a Shocker team that ranks 11th in the conference in offensive efficiency and have the lowest FG percentage and 3 point percentage in the conference. The only way they have any chance in this game is to play it at a sloth’s pace and we are banking on them trying to do just that here. One way to do so is by snagging offensive rebounds. Memphis ranks 326th of 363 D1 teams in defensive rebound rate. O-Boards will lead to fresh shot clocks which means much longer possessions. On the other side, Memphis is very reliant (and great) at drawing fouls and getting to the charity stripe on offense. However, Wichita is elite at avoiding fouling (37th best in the country) and they held Memphis to just 61 points in their first meeting because they only gave up 15 free throw attempts. Lock in the under in this one!