DK Top Plays
QBs: Howard, Castellanos, Sanders, Morton, Beck, Sorsby, Morris, Daily, Daniels
RBs: Udoh, Wisner, Neal, Taylor, Mafah, Allen, Judkins, Henderson, White, Brooks, Kiner, Fletcher, Sama, Augustave
WRs: Kelly, Lovett, Horton, Smith, Egbuka, Jackson, Hutchinson, Wesco Jr, Royer, Meeks, Helm, Horn, Johnson, Bond, Douglas
FD Top Plays
QBs: Iamaleava, Leonard, Hoover, Gabriel, Howard, Morton, Sanders, Dart
RBs: Sampson, Wisner, Neal, Blue, K. Brown, Judkins, Henderson, Sama, Martinez, Mafah
WRs: Williams, Lowe, Lovett, Tyson, Singleton Jr, Kelly, Sarratt, Wesco Jr., Egbuka, Lee, McCoy, Hunter, Presley
QBs
Will Howard projects to be the chalkiest QB on the DK main slate. He faces a Purdue Defense that is allowing opposing offenses to have their way both on the ground and through the air. Will Howard is a QB that does both, and leads one of the top options in the nation. This one isn’t hard to figure out. The biggest issue we have with locking him in GPPs, is that he hasn’t shown a slate breaking ceiling yet this year. We’ve seen back to back weeks of sub 22 point performances. Understand, he will be very highly owned, but this feels like a great spot to take a jab at one of the running backs, Judkins or Henderson as elite leverage off Howard.
Thomas Castellanos projects as chalky as well. BC is a 2 point favorite in a 52 point total. Castellanos has tossed multiple touchdowns in every game this season but one, and is back to running again with 15+ carries in back to back weeks. Syracuse has proven to be a team that will be scored on in bunches, and at $6,600, he is certainly very appealing. This is good chalk on this slate as it is very unlikely this offense does much that doesn’t involve Castellanos contributing.
Shedeur Sanders will undoubtedly carry ownership on this slate as well. He is part of the 2nd highest total on the slate and faces a Texas Tech team that is below average in tackling and coverage grades on PFF. Sanders props for passing and touchdowns are very favorable to clear 300 yards and 3 touchdowns. This is another spot that we wouldn’t willingly fade. If he happens to add a rushing touchdown to the stat line, like he’s been known to do in the red zone, he is likely optimal on this slate.
Behren Morton the run back stack with Texas Tech makes a lot of sense on this slate. He will be equally chalky. He is not necessary to build with but his salary savings does help on a slate where you want to jam as many studs as you can. His rushing upside is very limited which has us lower on him on this slate. Josh Kelley projects to be the top owned receiver on the slate so Morton will be up there as the logical pairing.
Carson Beck slots in as the next QB carrying ownership, short and sweet, we don’t like him.
Brendan Sorsby is a personal favorite of mine this weekend in two quarterback lineups. Sorsby has rushing upside in each matchup, but more importantly, West Virginia has one of the worst coverage grades in football, via PFF. Last time Sorsby faced a miserable pass defense he threw for 426 and 4, and this team grades out worse than Texas Tech did. This is a play that is a bit more GPP, just because Sorsby’s price is a little bit higher and he needs a great outing to get there but it is certainly possible we see that happen this weekend in an optimal matchup.
Chandler Morris has been a flamethrower for North Texas this season and will have to show up again this weekend for his team to compete. His price makes him a difficult play as army will no doubt run the ball a million times yet again. He will have to score every chance he gets to pay off his price tag.
Bryson Daily is a potential slate breaker in this spot, if there is any way we get any kind of news on his health. Daily has 60 point upside, but we don’t know for sure what kind of health issues he is battling. If it is disclosed at any point that he was just sick or something, then we can probably proceed as a full go, if he is nursing an ankle injury or something, then he is a fade at his price.
Jalon Daniels is back to being a $7k-$8k QB and for whatever reason, he is priced below $6k.It must be because Iowa State is a one loss team right? Well Iowa State’s defense actually hasn’t been elite this season, at least for a little while. Giving up 22 points to TTU, 35 to UCF and 21 to Baylor. He isn’t projecting for much ownership currently, and makes so much sense on this slate as a value punt at QB. He has posted scores of 33 and 23 over his last two weeks and will score well again against Iowa State at home this weekend.
RB
Kanye Udoh had a huge game against Air Force last week posting 22 carries for 158 yards and 2 touchdowns. He currently projects to be in nearly every single lineup this weekend. IF BRYSON DAILY GOES, he is not a must. At $5,900, he will be hard to fade if Daily does not go.
Quintrevion Wisner looks to be another lock and load running back this weekend against Florida. He is seeing 20 touches average per game right now, and Texas will likely be up in a hurry on Florida who doesn’t know who is starting at QB this weekend. Wisner will be in nearly every lineup along with Udoh this weekend.
Devin Neal is another running back to seriously consider this weekend, he is finally seeing 20 touches a game and is one of the most dynamic backs in college football. He will carry some ownership as well, but is underpriced at $6,700 and his work load is just way to prominent in this offense to not consider this weekend.
Darius Taylor went all the way off last weekend against Illinois. He had 22 carries, and maybe the most exciting part of the game, was that he was able to catch 9 passes. We don’t expect that to happen every weekend, and as he is the most expensive back on the slate, we don’t mind fading Taylor in this spot. He is just shy of $9k this weekend and will need another 30 piece to pay his price off and we just don’t know if he will get there.
Phil Mafah is $6,500 on this slate and we have no idea why. He is logging 20+ touches a game right now and should be a $9k back. We actually expected him to carry more ownership than some of the other previously listed backs. This is a no brainer, lock and load if you’ve got the salary.
LeQuint Allen is yet another running back with huge upside. Another running back seeing a ridiculous 20+ touches week in and week out. There are so many good running back plays this week! He is a leverage play on the field, and makes a lot of sense if you wanted to run back Thomas Castellanos. His price is higher than some of the other backs listed for sure so he will need every touch he can get but his ceiling has huge upside.
Judkins and Henderson are worth mentioning because it is certainly possible that one or both of them go nuclear in place of Will Howard this weekend. My personal lean is Henderson, due to price more than anything. If he were to get 12-15 carries and break a couple of them against this putrid Purdue defense, at very little ownership, he would be an elite GPP play.
Jaheim White is back to seeing double digit touches and is sub $5k this weekend. Cincinatti defense isn’t awesome. He is worth a look in tournaments.
Tahj Brooks is expensive, but he could be an elite anchor for your lineups this weekend. He is a nice run back against a Colorado stack and will likely see yet another week with a huge work load. He has seen a minimum of 25 carries over the last 3 weeks and we would not at all be surprised by a ceiling game here in what should be a shootout.
Sama, Kiner, Fletcher, Augustave are all low owned GPP plays this weekend with a path to success. Kiner is the favorite of these without question, the other three all split time with another back.
WR
Josh Kelly saw an insane 18 targets last weekend and will likely see the same workload against Colorado this weekend. He is for whatever reason priced at $6K and is another player that will be in nearly every lineup this weekend. He is good chalk.
Dominc Lovett is a big play receiver that the sites just refuse to price up. He saw 10 targets last weekend and will probably see that same workload again this weekend at $4,700. Carson Beck really needs to be better for us to love this play but again, a 10 target receiver at sub $5k? Hard to fade in any format.
Isaiah Horton is averaging a nice 14 fantasy points per game with Cam Ward as his QB. Wow I bet he’s priced around $7k with that consistency! Wrong, he is priced at $5,200 and should be more expensive than that regardless. He has 6 catches in back to back games and seems to be a lock for multiple catches every week.
Jeremiah Smith is terrifying in this matchup. He is so talented for his age and his ceiling is very high. This game will likely be a blowout, so Smith will have to do his damage early, but he has insane upside with an average 21 fantasy points per game currently.
Emeka Egbuka is the same as Smith, high ceiling, huge potential, BUT will probably not play the entire game.
Daniel Jackson is a huge volume receiver for Minnesota. He has shown excellent upside and is for whatever reason never priced up. He is priced at $5,500 and is very likely to see 8 targets again in this matchup. He will see some ownership again this weekend but is a good play in all formats.
Bryant Wesco Jr., $3,100, coming off 7 catches for 53 yards in the last matchup. He will without question carry some ownership at his price, but with a ceiling of 25 points already shown once this season, we like our odds at paying that tag off.
Xzavier Henderson is the top receiving option on this Cincinnati team. He hasn’t quite shown the slate breaking upside this year as hs has in the past, but this West Virginia team, and I cannot stress this enough, can not cover him. Henderson could have a monster day at little to no ownership.
Joe Royer is a play that fits well with the Cincinatti Stack. Royer is averaging 55 yards per game and 12 fantasy points at $4k. He is a great paring with Sorsby. Jake Barton once said, we don’t roster tight ends Rex. Well guess what, this weekend we do.
Jackson Meeks has shown unreal upside for Syracuse this year. Trebor Pena is the unquestioned alpha in the offense, but Meeks at $5,700 is very interesting. He has shown a ceiling of 35 points this season and is averaging 16 points per game, along with 68 yards. He makes sense as a run back against Boston College or just a one off.
Jimmy Horn is near min priced and has insane upside in this game against Texas Tech. Horn is all the way back from injury and couldn’t come at a better time as Colorado lost Miller for the season recently. Jimmy Horn, Will Sheppard, LaJohntay Wester and Travis Hunter are obviously all excellent stacks with Sheduer Sanders. Sheppard and Horn are the cheapest. Wester will have the least amount of ownership (as of writing this) due to the no mans land pricing he carries. You can’t go wrong with any of them with Shedeur as he probably has projects to throw for 300 plus and multiple touchdowns.
Helm, Johnson, Bond, Douglas are all very GPP receivers. Helm and Bond are both rostered with the idea that Texas throws multiple touchdowns rather than the running backs carrying the torch. Tony Johnson is a cheap way to get Cincinatti exposure against a miserable West Virginia secondary, and Douglas is another way to get Texas Tech exposure this weekend.
Conclusion:
This slate is definitely interesting. The three chalkiest options on the slate are without question Udoh, Wisner, Kelly. In cash lineups you need to start there. At QB, Howard and Castellanos are going to be chalky options, along with Sanders, and Morton. Most optimal lineups will have some combination of these players. This is a slate that you don’t have to eat all the chalk. Udoh and Wisner both have multiple options on their teams could vulture and hurt them. Howard is in the same boat, as mentioned in his writeup. We can’t stress enough how high we are on Shedeur Sanders this weekend. His props are 300+ and 3+ touchdowns. At receiver it’s Josh Kelly by a wide margin. After that it shakes up a bit, but Lovett and Horton will be in more lineups than not. Bryant Wesco projects well for $3,100 and is essentially a free play at his price. We expect his ownership to creep up more as we get closer to lock but if not, that could be a nice edge.
FD Main
OKAY. On FanDuel, it’s all about Savion Williams. He’s averaging all the touches he can handle and faces off against the worst defense in the country, the Oklahoma State Cowboys. At QB, Nico Imaeleava has a dream matchup against Mississippi State. He’s priced down around the 2nd stringers at 9k. He will be very chalky. You need both of these players in optimal lineups. Will Howard is a hot commodity on FanDuel as well. Check his DK writeup. Wisner, Lovett, Judkins are all popular and have matching DK writeups as well. Dylan Sampson could go nuclear in this matchup yet again. He’s proving to be one of the top backs in the country and will not be denied. Consider him in all formats. Josh Kelly on FanDuel as well. Jaydon Blue is criminally underpriced on FanDuel for guaranteed double digit touches. Build your FanDuel lineups around these guys and use the header to fill in the rest. A favorite stack to go with Tennessee is as many TCU guys as you can fit. Hoover, Williams, Bech are a nice three man stack. Additionally, Colorado stack is still very live just not a must with Tennessee and TCU both on the slate.