This is -110 on BetMGM, DraftKings, and Caesars. I’ve been eyeing this one all day, and for the longest time it was sitting at 36 points. I was going to post that, but I hoped if I waited that people would move it up. A couple huge bets have come in on the over, exactly as I hoped would happen, and it moved it up to 38.5. In a game as low scoring as this one should be, that’s a huge jump, and it makes the under a great play. These teams are going to really struggle passing the ball. The defensive strength of both sides is their pass defense, and the passing offenses are horrible. We think this total is appropriately low, and should be even lower, as both teams will be grinding out long possessions on the ground. The only thing Sam Houston does well is tackle, which is perfect for an under, and both of these teams play at a very slow pace. We like this under all the way down to 35.
