This bet is currently -120 on FD. Charlie Morton gets to face the Marlins today and this line seems to be set too low. This could mainly be because Morton has not struck out many lefties so far this season, but we expect some positive regression today. Morton has struck out over 27% of the lefties he’s faced in every season since 2017. There’s some swing and miss in this Marlins lineup as well with five bats with a 23% K rate or higher against righties over the last two seasons. 6 K’s is an easy mark for a pitcher like Morton to hit and we like the matchup here today. We would take this to -135.
