We are seeing the best odds for this at -178 on Fanduel and like it down to -185 on other sites. Starting with Bradley against the Royals, he owns K rates of 29% against LHH and 24% against RHH. As you can see, Bradley is a guy who holds a higher K rate to his reverse-split side, which typically helps a pitcher’s upside, as switch hitters and platoon bats will take the higher K-rate side. That is no different tonight, as the Royals are likely to send six LHH to the plate against him. As for the Twins offense, they get a matchup with right hander Seth Lugo. Lugo is a guy who pitches to contact, and while that has worked out well for him over the last few years, this year the contact is loud and he has gotten himself into trouble. Lugo has been hit very hard by RHH this season, allowing them a line of .231/.357, and while he has been slightly better against LHH, he is still allowing them a line of .184/.352. This sets up well for a lot of Twins bats and we think they can get to Lugo early and often.
