You can currently find this bet for -140 on DraftKings. We like it to t-165.
It feels like Paraguay is flying under the radar entering this tournament, as they’ve proven to be a very good defensive team. They’ve only allowed two teams more than 1.5 expected goals in their last 12 matches, and they got hot down the stretch of World Cup qualifying, finding their form after only taking 5 points in their first six matches. It wasn’t the South American giants that they started slow against either, with wins against Argentina, Uruguay, and Brazil after that slow start. These lines against the US are very good value, since the books are taking so much public money on the home team, giving us odds here that we feel are great for us. While the US has looked better recently under Poch, they still have plenty of struggles to work through, and Paraguay is a battle-tested team coming from a power region, and will be up for the challenge of starting the hosts out on the back foot. Lock in on Paraguay!