This bet is -110 on Caesars and we like it down to +12. While it’s uncomfortable betting against UCONN, this spread is simply too high. We think Northwestern should realistically be 8 or 9 point dogs here because they actually match up quite well. They shoot a lot of threes at a high percentage and UCONN actually allows a lot of open threes. They also rarely turn the ball over and they force a lot of turnovers. They’ll get beat on the glass for sure, but I think they can overcome that to cover.
